user-generated· macro
Venezuela's annual GDP growth contracts by 1.5% in 2026 due to earthq…
The June 2026 earthquake caused significant destruction to infrastructure and residential buildings in La Guaira and surrounding areas. Economic output in construction, housing, and related sectors will decline sharply, reducing annual GDP growth by at least 1.5 percentage points compared to pre-quake projections.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
Loading…