Will the 7-day interbank repo rate in China fall below 1.75% for at least five consecutive trading days by December 31, 2024?

The headline indicates a 'cash glut' and efforts to curb interbank lending, which could lead to lower short-term interest rates. A sustained drop below 1.75% would signify a significant easing of interbank liquidity conditions.

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-09-10