US AI chip exports to China drop below 10% by 2026-11-30

Market overview

DeepSeek's US-trained AI models reduce reliance on Chinese hardware, accelerating export restrictions. The US government is expected to tighten chip export controls to China, reducing US AI chip exports to single digits by year-end.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-11-30

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