Will the S&P 500 close above its current level of 4700 on December 31…

Market overview

Given the current geopolitical tensions, market volatility is expected. However, historical data suggests a year-end rally is common, and the impact of Middle East developments on broad market indices might be limited if no major escalation occurs.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2029-08-27

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