Arabica coffee prices to exceed $2.50 per pound by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Arabica coffee futures price (as reported by ICE Futures US) closes at or above $2.50 per pound on any trading day between 2026-08-01 and 2026-12-31.
user-generated· commodities
Arabica coffee prices to exceed $2.50 per pound by 2026-12-31
Market overview
Arabica coffee futures have surged to multi-year highs due to U.S.-Colombia tariff tensions. Continued trade friction or further restrictions could push prices above $2.50 per pound by year-end, supported by seasonal supply constraints.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Arabica coffee futures price (as reported by ICE Futures US) closes at or above $2.50 per pound on any trading day between 2026-08-01 and 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
More commodities markets
- ICE Arabica coffee futures exceed $3.50/lb by December 2026 — 65% Yes
- Indian LPG exports increase by 40% year-over-year by Q1 2027 — 60% Yes
- Colombia increases coffee exports to Europe by Q1 2027 — 60% Yes
- Arabica coffee futures to rise above $3.50/lb by 2026-12-31 — 75% Yes
- U.S. shale output fails to offset OPEC cuts by September 2026 — 70% Yes
- Colombia raises coffee export taxes to 15% by December 2026 — 70% Yes
- Arabica coffee futures to exceed $4.50/lb by December 2026 — 70% Yes
- Arabica coffee futures exceed $3.50/lb by end of 2026 — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…