U.S. GDP growth will exceed 3% in 2026 Q4
Resolves: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports Q4 2026 GDP growth at or above 3%.
user-generated· macro
U.S. GDP growth will exceed 3% in 2026 Q4
Market overview
The article emphasizes America's robust economic performance, including record energy production and its status as the world's largest economy. With ongoing innovation and a strong business environment, the U.S. is poised to maintain high growth rates, surpassing the 3% GDP growth mark in Q4 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports Q4 2026 GDP growth at or above 3%.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- Bank of Korea cuts benchmark rate by 50bps by November 2026 — 65% Yes
- IUCN Red List biodiversity recovery fund exceeds $1B by 2027 — 75% Yes
- China exports growth falls below 5% YoY by Q3 2026 — 70% Yes
- Netherlands increases defense budget to 4.5% of GDP by 2028 — 75% Yes
- Medicaid enrollment drops 25%+ in states enforcing work requirements — 70% Yes
- Eurozone inflation exceeds 3.5% in Q4 2026 due to energy prices — 70% Yes
- Trump administration allocates $5B to violent crime reduction by 2026-Q2 — 68% Yes
- Kevin Warsh Fed chair will accelerate rate hikes in 2026 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…