PHLX Semiconductor Index below 4000 by Sep 30

Market overview

SOX index closes below 4000 on any trading day in September 2026.

tech_stocks prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-09-30

More tech_stocks markets

• Microsoft's stock rises 10% within three months post-Xbox spin-off — 70% Yes
• Apple shares rise by 5% within 30 days of iOS 27 public launch — 70% Yes
• Cloudflare's competitors follow with similar AI-driven layoffs — 60% Yes
• OpenAI integrates custom voice controls for ChatGPT by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
• OpenAI releases a full-duplex AI model within 12 months — 70% Yes
• Nvidia closes above $1,500 by 2026-08-31 — 72% Yes
• S&P 500 drops below 4,500 by end of 2026 due to Fed tightening — 65% Yes
• NASDAQ 100 to close above 20,000 by June 15 — 70% Yes

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