Nigerian opposition gains significant polling lead by 2027-01-15
Resolves: Opposition party leads ruling party by at least 10 percentage points in credible national polls published by 2027-01-15.
user-generated· politics
Nigerian opposition gains significant polling lead by 2027-01-15
Market overview
The PFIPC scandal will erode public trust in the ruling party ahead of the January 2027 general election. Polling data will show the opposition party leading by at least 10 points in national surveys by mid-January.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 58%
- Closes
- 2027-01-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Opposition party leads ruling party by at least 10 percentage points in credible national polls published by 2027-01-15.
Source: user-generated
More politics markets
- JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
- Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
- Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? — 66% Yes
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000? — 24% Yes
- Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — 98% Yes
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? — 4% Yes
- Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? — 24% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…