Chairman Warsh’s first term sees more dissent than prior cycles
Resolves: At least three FOMC members dissent from the majority policy decision in official voting records or public statements during 2026.
user-generated· regulatory
Chairman Warsh’s first term sees more dissent than prior cycles
Market overview
Chairman Warsh described the June meeting as a "good family fight," implying greater internal disagreement. Dissent among FOMC members in 2026 will exceed the average of the past five years, as reflected in meeting minutes and voting records.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
At least three FOMC members dissent from the majority policy decision in official voting records or public statements during 2026.
Source: user-generated
More regulatory markets
- Crypto billionaire Harborne faces FCA scrutiny over £5m gift — 55% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Harborne will face FCA scrutiny — 60% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne’s donation triggers FCA inquiry into funding transparency — 70% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne will face parliamentary scrutiny over £5m gift — 55% Yes
- Harborne crypto holdings face regulatory scrutiny — 60% Yes
- SEC approves at least 2 new Bitcoin ETFs by Q4 2027 — 75% Yes
- SEC approves Kalshi's crypto futures products by 2026-Q3 — 55% Yes
- Iran's central bank bans crypto mining by 2027 Q1 — 85% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…