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user-generated· macro

Brent crude oil exceeds $95 per barrel by August 2026

The termination of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire and renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz will disrupt oil supply routes, pushing Brent crude prices higher. Geopolitical risk premiums typically drive prices up by 10-15% in such scenarios.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-08-08

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