Will the United States formally withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by July 31, 2027?

Given Trump's '50/50' statement regarding the Iran deal, a potential second term could see a re-evaluation of the JCPOA. This question assesses the likelihood of a formal withdrawal during a potential future administration's early period.

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2029-08-21