Deep-sea mining moratorium to pass UN by Dec 2026
Resolves: A UN resolution (UNGA or UNCLOS) explicitly imposing a moratorium on deep-sea mining is ratified and enters into force by the resolution date.
user-generated· regulatory
Deep-sea mining moratorium to pass UN by Dec 2026
Market overview
The IUCN's latest Red List highlights deep-sea mining as the primary threat to 67% of deep-sea vent mollusks. A UN resolution imposing a moratorium on deep-sea mining is likely to pass by December 2026, driven by growing environmental pressure and lobbying from conservation groups.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A UN resolution (UNGA or UNCLOS) explicitly imposing a moratorium on deep-sea mining is ratified and enters into force by the resolution date.
Source: user-generated
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