UK amends Immigration Act within 6 months to deport Ahmed
Resolves: The UK Parliament enacts a law amending the 1971 Immigration Act to explicitly allow the deportation of Shabir Ahmed or individuals convicted of comparable crimes, regardless of residency duration.
user-generated· legal
UK amends Immigration Act within 6 months to deport Ahmed
Market overview
The UK government will pass legislation by January 2027 allowing the deportation of Shabir Ahmed under the amended 1971 Immigration Act. The amendment will target specific exceptions to the Act's deportation bars for heinous criminal offenses.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-01-08
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The UK Parliament enacts a law amending the 1971 Immigration Act to explicitly allow the deportation of Shabir Ahmed or individuals convicted of comparable crimes, regardless of residency duration.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- Will Baviskar's trading accounts be permanently restricted by November 25, 2026? — 95% Yes
- Will Ichcoin Tech Corp. settle with the SEC within 90 days? — 75% Yes
- Will any individual respondent settle with the SEC before year-end 2026? — 30% Yes
- Will the SEC announce a freeze on Ferder's personal assets by November 30, 2026? — 70% Yes
- Will Bonanza Global investors recover more than $1M by November 2026? — 25% Yes
- Will at least one respondent comply with subpoenas within 30 days of court order? — 65% Yes
- Will the court impose a civil penalty on Chavez by 2026-12-01? — 90% Yes
- SEC drops enforcement actions against major crypto exchanges within 12 months — 55% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…