U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rises above 5% by 2026-12-31

Banks' record bond short positions signal mounting bearish sentiment, which could drive yields higher as selling pressure mounts. The 10-year yield has not exceeded 5% since 2024, making this a critical threshold to watch.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-12-31

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