Fed signals imminent rate cut by December 2026 amid disinflation

Core PCE inflation falls to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026, down from 3.2% in May. Governor Warsh, in a public speech, emphasizes downside risks to growth and hints at a dovish pivot. The Fed's forward guidance in July 2026 suggests a rate cut is likely before year-end.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-07-31

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