Will Russia announce a temporary ceasefire in Ukraine as a direct result of Zelenskyy's open letter by March 10, 2022?

Zelenskyy's letter is a diplomatic overture, but Russia's military objectives appear to be ongoing. A direct and immediate ceasefire announcement solely due to this letter is improbable, though other diplomatic efforts might contribute to one later.

Implied probability (Yes)

5%

Closes

2026-09-03