10-year Treasury yield falls below 4.0% by August 2026

The 10-year US Treasury yield declines below 4.0% within one month following Lavorgna's remarks and before the next Fed meeting. This reflects investor expectations of a prolonged pause in rate hikes and dovish Fed signaling, reducing long-term borrowing costs.

price · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-08-31

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