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Susan Collins leads by 5+ points in Maine Senate race post-Platner re…

The Platner campaign’s internal polling tested Collins against five potential Democratic replacements. If Platner is replaced by a centrist or moderate Democrat (e.g., a popular state legislator or local official), Collins’ current lead could shrink, but historical trends favor incumbents in Maine. A post-replacement poll conducted by an independent firm by October 2026 will likely show Collins leading by at least 5 points.

event · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2026-10-31

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