SpaceX underperforms Nasdaq-100 by 5% within 30 days

Despite index inclusion and passive buying, SpaceX’s small 1.3% weighting in the Nasdaq-100 will limit immediate upward momentum. Insider lockup expirations and high volatility will likely drive the stock to underperform the index by at least 5% in the next month.

price · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-08-06

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