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Small boat crossings drop 10% in 2027

Resolves: Home Office data shows 2027 small boat arrivals ≤90% of 2026 total.

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user-generated· event

Small boat crossings drop 10% in 2027

Market overview

Annual small boat arrivals in UK fall by at least 10% in 2027 vs 2026.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
45%
Closes
2028-01-01

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Home Office data shows 2027 small boat arrivals ≤90% of 2026 total.

Source: user-generated

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