user-generated· macro
Brent crude oil to exceed $120 per barrel by end of July 2026
Oil prices jumped on geopolitical risks after an Iranian attack. With limited spare capacity and heightened Middle East tensions, Brent crude is likely to breach the $120 threshold within three weeks.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-07-31
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- IDMC annual report shows 40m+ total displacements in 2026 — 80% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
Loading…