South Carolina will elect a Republican to replace Lindsey Graham in 2026 special election
Resolves: A Republican candidate wins the special election to fill Lindsey Graham's Senate seat in South Carolina by this date.
user-generated· politics
South Carolina will elect a Republican to replace Lindsey Graham in 2…
Market overview
Graham's sudden death necessitates a special election in South Carolina. Given the state's strong Republican lean and Graham's long-standing influence, the Republican Party is expected to field a strong candidate to retain the seat. Historical trends favor Republican retention in such scenarios.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2026-11-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A Republican candidate wins the special election to fill Lindsey Graham's Senate seat in South Carolina by this date.
Source: user-generated
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