30-year mortgage rate falls below 6.5% by September 2026

High mortgage rates are a primary driver of June’s home sales decline. If rates ease below 6.5%, affordability pressures would ease, likely supporting a rebound in homebuyer activity. Market expectations for Fed rate cuts and cooling inflation support this scenario.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-09-30

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