user-generated· adoption
Prediction market volumes sustain 20% YoY growth through 2026
Combined daily trading volumes on Kalshi, Polymarket, and Rothera exceed $500M by December 2026, maintaining at least a 20% year-over-year growth rate from June 2026 levels. World Cup-driven momentum and expanding sports/event contracts sustain user engagement.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- Major tech companies to mandate AI voice tools in offices by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Animal rights NGOs expand operations in Uganda by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Elliott Management opens new China-focused fund within 9 months — 55% Yes
- Decline in assets under management for single-stock leveraged ETFs by 2027-06-30 — 60% Yes
- Canvas adoption declines by 5% among K-12 schools in 2026 — 70% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
Loading…