SpaceX total addressable market estimate revised downward by 2027
Resolves: SpaceX or a major research firm (e.g., MoffettNathanson, Goldman Sachs) publicly revises SpaceX's total addressable market estimate downward by at least 30% from the reported $30 trillion figure by 2027-07-07.
SpaceX total addressable market estimate revised downward by 2027
Market overview
MoffettNathanson called SpaceX's nearly $30 trillion total addressable market estimate 'absurd.' Given growing skepticiety and pressure from analysts, the company or third-party firms are likely to revise this estimate downward within the next 12 months.
earnings prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-07-07
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
SpaceX or a major research firm (e.g., MoffettNathanson, Goldman Sachs) publicly revises SpaceX's total addressable market estimate downward by at least 30% from the reported $30 trillion figure by 2027-07-07.
Source: user-generated
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