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user-generated· macro

S&P 500 declines 5% within 30 days of tariff ruling appeal loss

The stock market reacts negatively to the Federal Circuit's denial of a stay or upholding of the tariff ruling, with the S&P 500 dropping at least 5% from its pre-ruling level. This reflects investor concerns over trade policy uncertainty and potential economic headwinds.

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
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