user-generated· macro
Iran's crude oil inventory drawdown lags until 2027 amid sanctions re…
Iran's crude oil inventories will not decline significantly until at least the first half of 2027 despite sanctions lifting, due to weak global demand and alternative supply sources. Analysts project a drawdown only after OPEC+ supply adjustments and China's energy strategy stabilizes.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- IDMC annual report shows 40m+ total displacements in 2026 — 80% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
Loading…