user-generated· event
Ukraine conducts another major drone strike on Russian oil facility b…
Given Ukraine’s stated strategy of targeting Russian energy infrastructure, another high-profile strike on a major oil facility is highly likely. This prediction resolves based on verified reports of a successful drone attack on a Russian oil terminal or refinery.
event · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More event markets
- Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
- Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
- Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
- Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
- Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
- US Southwest faces record heatwave by May 18 2026 — 85% Yes
- Kardo Ranya arrested or killed within 18 months — 62% Yes
- Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes
Loading…