Ukraine conducts another major drone strike on Russian oil facility by Dec 2026
Resolves: Verified reporting (e.g., from BBC, Reuters, or official Ukrainian/Russian sources) confirms a Ukrainian drone strike on a major Russian oil terminal or refinery by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· event
Ukraine conducts another major drone strike on Russian oil facility b…
Market overview
Given Ukraine’s stated strategy of targeting Russian energy infrastructure, another high-profile strike on a major oil facility is highly likely. This prediction resolves based on verified reports of a successful drone attack on a Russian oil terminal or refinery.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Verified reporting (e.g., from BBC, Reuters, or official Ukrainian/Russian sources) confirms a Ukrainian drone strike on a major Russian oil terminal or refinery by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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