Will the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raise its benchmark repo rate by at least 25 basis points by June 30, 2027?

Sustained high bond yields and potential inflationary pressures stemming from geopolitical events like the Iran war could compel the RBI to tighten monetary policy. However, balancing growth concerns might lead them to hold rates steady.

Implied probability (Yes)

35%

Closes

2029-08-23