user-generated· tech_stocks
AGI will surpass human performance in 50% of tasks by 2027
The glossary defines AGI as highly autonomous systems outperforming humans in most economically valuable work. Historical trends in AI benchmarks suggest rapid progress toward this milestone could be achieved within a year, driven by advances in model architectures and compute scaling.
tech_stocks · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-07-05
More tech_stocks markets
- Microsoft's stock rises 10% within three months post-Xbox spin-off — 70% Yes
- Apple shares rise by 5% within 30 days of iOS 27 public launch — 70% Yes
- Cloudflare's competitors follow with similar AI-driven layoffs — 60% Yes
- OpenAI integrates custom voice controls for ChatGPT by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
- OpenAI releases a full-duplex AI model within 12 months — 70% Yes
- Nvidia closes above $1,500 by 2026-08-31 — 72% Yes
- S&P 500 drops below 4,500 by end of 2026 due to Fed tightening — 65% Yes
- NASDAQ 100 to close above 20,000 by June 15 — 70% Yes
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