RNLI donations surge post-incident
Resolves: RNLI donation revenue exceeds prior 3-month average by 20% or more after incident.
user-generated· adoption
RNLI donations surge post-incident
Market overview
RNLI receives at least 20% increase in donations within 3 months of Shoreham tragedy.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-11-18
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
RNLI donation revenue exceeds prior 3-month average by 20% or more after incident.
Source: user-generated
More adoption markets
- Codex mobile adoption surpasses 5M monthly active users by 2026-08-31 — 72% Yes
- New tiny luxury hotel brands emerge — 65% Yes
- Apple's Siri switches to Meta's Llama model by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Perplexity's Comet reaches 100K paid subscribers by December 2026 — 72% Yes
- Public swimming at England’s river bathing sites drops by 40% due to contamination warnings — 79% Yes
- OpenAI Sol model adoption to exceed 50% in Fortune 500 by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- Major African news outlets launch dedicated influencer partnerships within 12 months — 68% Yes
- Codex mobile adoption exceeds 5M active users by 2026-08-15 — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…