Mercor revenue exceeds $3 billion ARR by December 2026
Resolves: Mercor publicly announces ARR exceeding $3 billion (trailing 12-month or run-rate, as defined by the company) by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· earnings
Mercor revenue exceeds $3 billion ARR by December 2026
Market overview
Mercor reported $2B ARR in June 2026 and grew from $500M to $1B in just four months. With its domain-expert training model scaling rapidly, it is positioned to exceed $3B ARR by December 2026, continuing its exponential trajectory.
earnings prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Mercor publicly announces ARR exceeding $3 billion (trailing 12-month or run-rate, as defined by the company) by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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