IUCN Red List downgrades deep-sea molluscs by Q4 2026
Resolves: IUCN Red List update published by 2026-12-31 classifies ≥66% of deep-sea vent mollusc species as Endangered or Critically Endangered, explicitly citing deep-sea mining as a primary threat.
user-generated· regulatory
IUCN Red List downgrades deep-sea molluscs by Q4 2026
Market overview
By December 31, 2026, the IUCN will officially list at least two-thirds of deep-sea hydrothermal vent molluscs (snails, limpets, clams) as Endangered or Critically Endangered due to deep-sea mining pressures. This reflects ongoing damage documented in 2026 assessments.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 78%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
IUCN Red List update published by 2026-12-31 classifies ≥66% of deep-sea vent mollusc species as Endangered or Critically Endangered, explicitly citing deep-sea mining as a primary threat.
Source: user-generated
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