UK vape flavor restriction leads to 10% increase in illicit vape sales
Resolves: UK revenue from illicit vape products increases by 10% or more in the 12 months following the implementation of the new flavor restrictions.
user-generated· regulatory
UK vape flavor restriction leads to 10% increase in illicit vape sales
Market overview
Stricter regulations on vape flavors will push some consumers toward unregulated markets. The UK's existing illicit vape trade will expand as legal restrictions make flavors less appealing. This trend will be measurable by early 2027.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-01-10
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK revenue from illicit vape products increases by 10% or more in the 12 months following the implementation of the new flavor restrictions.
Source: user-generated
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