Catnip-based repellent gains 15% global market share by 2027
Resolves: Global market share of catnip-based repellents reaches or exceeds 15% as reported by industry sales data or market research firms by 31 December 2027.
user-generated· adoption
Catnip-based repellent gains 15% global market share by 2027
Market overview
Catnip-based repellents will capture 15% of the global mosquito repellent market by the end of 2027, driven by cost-effectiveness and growing demand for natural alternatives. Deet-based products will see a measurable decline in market share during the same period.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Global market share of catnip-based repellents reaches or exceeds 15% as reported by industry sales data or market research firms by 31 December 2027.
Source: user-generated
More adoption markets
- Daily active crypto users surpass 100 million by mid-2026 — 60% Yes
- Kalshi’s market share in crypto derivatives surpasses 5% by Q4 2027 — 55% Yes
- Kalshi's crypto perpetual futures launch by 2026-Q4 — 75% Yes
- Family offices double down on crypto-adjacent mining firms within 6 months — 72% Yes
- Nigeria's crypto transaction volume exceeds $5B in 2026 — 80% Yes
- AI and crypto groups increase political ad spending in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
- Crypto and AI groups double political ad spending by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Crypto billionaire Harborne will increase donations to Farage by 20% by Mar 2027 — 60% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…