Black voter turnout in Georgia will drop by at least 5% in 2028 Senate race
Resolves: Official Georgia voter turnout data for the 2028 Senate election shows Black voter turnout (as a percentage of registered Black voters) is at least 5 percentage points lower than the 2024 Senate election turnout.
Black voter turnout in Georgia will drop by at least 5% in 2028 Senat…
Market overview
In the Georgia 2028 Senate race, Black voter turnout will decline by at least 5 percentage points compared to the 2024 election due to redistricting changes and disillusionment among Black voters with Democratic leadership.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2028-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official Georgia voter turnout data for the 2028 Senate election shows Black voter turnout (as a percentage of registered Black voters) is at least 5 percentage points lower than the 2024 Senate election turnout.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- US Midwest heatwave peaks by May 18, 2026 — 75% Yes
- Georgia gubernatorial race remains competitive through 2026 — 75% Yes
- U.S. church closures will exceed 3,000 annually by 2028 — 68% Yes
- Chemistry Ventures' second fund closes at $500M by 2026-12-31 — 90% Yes
- North Carolina ballot delivery delay exceeds 48 hours — 35% Yes
- Cockroach Movement contests state election — 50% Yes
- Fancy Bear will be renamed under Google's system by 2027 — 60% Yes
- NHS consultant strikes last at least 3 days in 2026 — 68% Yes