England teachers strike probability exceeds 50% by Dec 2027

Market overview

The NEU's formal autumn ballot will likely result in strike authorization if the government maintains its 6.5% pay offer. Historical precedent and inflation-adjusted pay disputes in 2022-23 suggest a >50% probability of strike action in the new academic year.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

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