MI5 informant recruitment drops 20% in 2026 post-reform
Resolves: MI5's 2026 annual report shows a minimum 20% reduction in informant recruitment compared to 2025, attributed to policy changes following the Agent X case.
user-generated· adoption
MI5 informant recruitment drops 20% in 2026 post-reform
Market overview
Due to stricter vetting and increased oversight, MI5 will reduce the number of informants recruited in 2026 by at least 20% from 2025 levels, as reported in its annual transparency report.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
MI5's 2026 annual report shows a minimum 20% reduction in informant recruitment compared to 2025, attributed to policy changes following the Agent X case.
Source: user-generated
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