Elon Musk gains significant control of OpenAI by 2027

Market overview

Musk's lawsuit and testimony reveal his intent to assert control over OpenAI. Given his influence and the ongoing legal disputes, Musk will either acquire a controlling stake or secure a leadership role in OpenAI's governance structure by mid-2027.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Source: user-generated

More leadership markets

• Will CFO resign before 2026-12-31? — 40% Yes
• Rep. Edwards resigns from Congress before 2026 midterms — 55% Yes
• Chuck Edwards to resign before Ethics Committee ruling — 70% Yes
• Witkoff Rubio partnership gains influence in Middle East policy by 2027 — 55% Yes
• Edwards resigns from Congress by end of 2028 — 60% Yes
• Trump administration to nominate a more industry-aligned FDA chief by Labor Day — 68% Yes
• NRCC chair calls for town halls ban by 2027 — 60% Yes
• Will CEO Mark Zediker resign before FYE? — 60% Yes

Browse all leadership markets →