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S&P 500 closes above 8,250 by 2026-12-31

Resolves: S&P 500 closing price (using official market close) is strictly greater than 8,250 on December 31, 2026.

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user-generated· earnings

S&P 500 closes above 8,250 by 2026-12-31

Market overview

Yardeni Research projects the S&P 500 could reach 8,250 by year-end, driven by strong Q2 earnings growth above 20%. Current levels and earnings-led market dynamics support this target.

earnings prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

S&P 500 closing price (using official market close) is strictly greater than 8,250 on December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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