user-generated· adoption
Dem ad spending shifts on trans issues
Market overview
At least 5 House Democrats run ads opposing trans girls in girls' sports by Nov 2028.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2028-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
At least 5 Democratic House candidates air TV or digital ads explicitly opposing transgender girls participating in girls' school sports by Nov 30, 2028.
Source: user-generated
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