Will the average temperature for meteorological summer (June-August) 2027 in the UK exceed the 30-year average (1991-2027) by at least 1.0°C?

A 'warmer-than-normal' forecast implies temperatures significantly above the average. A 1.0°C increase over the 30-year average would be a clear indicator of a notably hot summer.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2029-09-01