S&P 500 drops 10% by year-end 2026
Resolves: If S&P 500 closing price on any trading day from Aug 7 to Dec 31, 2026 is ≥10% below Aug 6 close, resolves YES.
user-generated· price
S&P 500 drops 10% by year-end 2026
Market overview
S&P 500 closes at least 10% below Aug 6, 2026 level by Dec 31, 2026.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 35%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
If S&P 500 closing price on any trading day from Aug 7 to Dec 31, 2026 is ≥10% below Aug 6 close, resolves YES.
Source: user-generated
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