House fails tenth rule vote in 2026 by December 31
Resolves: A rule vote in the House of Representatives fails on or before December 31, 2026, regardless of the legislation being voted on.
user-generated· politics
House fails tenth rule vote in 2026 by December 31
Market overview
Speaker Johnson will face at least one more failed rule vote before the end of 2026 due to conservative rebellions. The trend of procedural failures will continue as long as the SAVE Act remains a contentious issue.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A rule vote in the House of Representatives fails on or before December 31, 2026, regardless of the legislation being voted on.
Source: user-generated
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