Jordan Bardella leads National Rally in polls by December 2026
Resolves: National Rally's polling average for Jordan Bardella as the party's presidential candidate exceeds Marine Le Pen's polling average in any reputable French polling survey published by 2026-12-31.
user-generated· politics
Jordan Bardella leads National Rally in polls by December 2026
Market overview
With Le Pen potentially out of the race, Bardella (age 30) would become the party's standard-bearer. Polling ahead of December 2026 could show him consolidating support, especially among younger voters and right-wing demographics.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
National Rally's polling average for Jordan Bardella as the party's presidential candidate exceeds Marine Le Pen's polling average in any reputable French polling survey published by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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