Desert rain frog extinction officially declared by 2028
Resolves: IUCN Red List or government wildlife agencies officially list the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) as Extinct by December 31, 2028.
user-generated· legal
Desert rain frog extinction officially declared by 2028
Market overview
The desert rain frog, uniquely adapted to arid environments, faces imminent extinction due to diamond mining expansion in southern Africa. Conservation efforts have failed to halt habitat destruction, making extinction inevitable by 2028.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
IUCN Red List or government wildlife agencies officially list the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) as Extinct by December 31, 2028.
Source: user-generated
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