user-generated· adoption
Waymo’s market share drops 3% due to responder interference scrutiny
Waymo’s autonomous vehicle deployment growth will slow as regulators and municipalities impose temporary restrictions on its operations. By 2026-12-31, Waymo will hold a 3% smaller share of the U.S. robotaxi market compared to its 2026-Q2 baseline.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- PGA Tour Shop app downloads increase 25% YoY in 2026 — 68% Yes
- Bluesky's AT Protocol gains adoption by 3 major third-party apps by Q1 2027 — 55% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Animal rights NGOs expand operations in Uganda by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Passive ETF inflows into SpaceX exceed $1.5 billion by October 2026 — 55% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
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