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Ahmed remains in UK beyond 2026 due to legal delays

Resolves: Shabir Ahmed is still physically present in the UK on or after 2026-12-31, either due to unresolved legal barriers or failure to amend the Immigration Act.

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user-generated· legal

Ahmed remains in UK beyond 2026 due to legal delays

Market overview

Despite government efforts, Shabir Ahmed will not be deported by the end of 2026. Legal challenges or procedural delays will prevent the amendment from being enacted or implemented in time.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
40%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Shabir Ahmed is still physically present in the UK on or after 2026-12-31, either due to unresolved legal barriers or failure to amend the Immigration Act.

Source: user-generated

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