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SpaceX underperforms Nasdaq-100 by 5% within 30 days of inclusion

Analysts note that SpaceX’s 1.3% index weight limits passive buying pressure. Given the muted effect, SpaceX is expected to underperform the broader Nasdaq-100 index by at least 5% within 30 days.

price · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-08-07

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